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The Breeding Bottleneck.


The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations projects that global food production must increase by ~70% by 2050, with ~90% of this growth required from yield intensification rather than land expansion [1].Historically, yield intensification has been driven largely by plant breeding. Long-term analyses show that ~40–60% of yield gains in maize and wheat are attributable to genetic improvement, with the remainder coming from agronomy and inputs [2–5].

 

A chart on creating sustainable food by 2050

However, World Resources Institute data show a stark divergence: while cereal yields have doubled or tripled since the 1960s, vegetable yields have seen far slower improvement at global scale [6]. A major limiting factor has been the lack of affordable, high-throughput yield phenotyping, which constrains selection intensity and genetic gain in vegetable breeding programs [7,8].


Future yield growth on different crops

Yield Systems removes this bottleneck by converting standard field video into high-resolution, plant-level yield measurements, enabling true high-throughput yield selection in vegetables. By unlocking breeding—the dominant historical driver of yield growth—Yield Systems enables cereal-like genetic gains in vegetables without additional land or water inputs.

 


References

[1] FAO (2009). Global agriculture towards 2050.

https://www.fao.org/3/i6583e/i6583e.pdf

[2] Evenson, R.E. & Gollin, D. (2003). Assessing the impact of the Green Revolution. FAO.

https://www.fao.org/3/y5160e/y5160e.pdf

[3] Fischer, R.A. et al. (2014). Crop yield progress in global wheat production. Field CropsResearch.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2013.05.007

[4] Duvick, D.N. (2005). The contribution of breeding to yield advances in maize. Crop Science.

https://acsess.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2135/cropsci2004.0001

[5] World Resources Institute (2019). Creating a Sustainable Food Future.

https://www.wri.org/research/creating-sustainable-food-future

[6] World Resources Institute (2019). How to Sustainably Feed 10 Billion People by 2050, in 21Charts (Chart 6).

https://www.wri.org/insights/how-sustainably-feed-10-billion-people-2050-21-charts

[7] Araus, J.L. & Cairns, J.E. (2014). Field high-throughput phenotyping: the new crop breedingfrontier. Trends in Plant Science.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2014.03.008

[8] Cobb, J.N. et al. (2013). Next-generation phenotyping. Trends in Plant Science.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2013.05.005

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